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Spot Gold prices soar once more PDF Print E-mail
Written by Sam Coventry   
Monday, 25 April 2011 14:53

Latest commodities spread betting insight and news.



Gold prices gapped higher through resistance at $1508.95, the 200% Fibonacci extension of the 3/7-3/15 downswing, to challenge the top of a rising channel in place since mid-March.

Spread betting traders will note that a break above this boundary exposes the 238.2% Fib at $1533.44. The 200% Fib level has been recast as near-term support.

Precious metal prices soared in overnight trade following a report from Century Magazine that claimed China plans to invest some of its more than $3 trillion in FX reserves in various assets including energy and precious metals.

PBOC chief ZhouXiaochuan has said the current build-up has exceeded “reasonable” levels, while independent reports have pegged the “right” amount of FX reserves for China at no more than $1.3 trillion.

On balance, this hints a substantial amount of capital is due to enter commodity markets, suggesting prices will continue to press higher over the near term as traders returning from the long holiday weekend digest overnight news-flow.

Elsewhere on the spread betting markets we note that brent crude prices are on pace to test the April 11 high at $113.44, a barrier reinforced by support-turned-resistance at a rising trend line set from the lows in mid-February, with a breakout to the upside exposing the $115.00 figure.

Initial support lines up at $109.37, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 3/16-4/11 advance.

Risk sentiment trends remain in focus for spread betting traders, with short-term correlation studies pointing to the strongest link between the WTI contract and the MSCI World Stock Index in four months (0.71).

With that in mind, S&P 500 stock index futures are pointing higher ahead of the opening bell on Wall Street, hinting the path of least resistance favors the upside over the near term.

With that in mind, a sharp rise in Treasury yields ahead of this week’s 2-, 5-, and 7-year bond sales amid fears that the recent S&P downgrade of the US’ credit outlook will boost borrowing costs may prove to weigh on sentiment.

 

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